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Professor Paul Henry Garthwaite

Profile summary

  • Central Academic Staff
  • Professor of Statistics
  • Faculty of Science, Technology, Engineering & Mathematics
  • School of Mathematics & Statistics
  • paul.garthwaite

Research Activity

Research groups

NameTypeParent Unit
Bayesian Statistics Research GroupGroupFaculty of Mathematics, Computing and Technology
Medical Statistics Research GroupGroupFaculty of Mathematics, Computing and Technology
Multivariate Statistics Research GroupGroupFaculty of Mathematics, Computing and Technology

Publications

Developing and evaluating computational models of musical style (2016-02)
Collins, Tom; Laney, Robin; Willis, Alistair and Garthwaite, Paul H.
Artificial Intelligence for Engineering Design, Analysis and Manufacturing, 30(1) (pp. 16-43)
Emulating global climate change impacts on crop yields (2015-12-01)
Oyebamiji, Oluwole K.; Edwards, Neil R.; Holden, Philip B.; Garthwaite, Paul H.; Schaphoff, Sibyll and Gerten, Dieter
Statistical Modelling, 15(6) (pp. 499-525)
Modelling reporting delays for outbreak detection in infectious disease data (2015-01)
Noufaily, Angela; Ghebremichael-Weldeselassie, Yonas; Enki, Doyo; Garthwaite, Paul; Andrews, Nick; Charlett, André and Farrington, Paddy
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society), 178(1) (pp. 205-222)
Emulation and interpretation of high-dimensional climate model outputs (2015)
Holden, Philip B.; Edwards, Neil R.; Garthwaite, Paul H. and Wilkinson, Richard D.
Journal of Applied Statistics, 42(9) (pp. 2038-2055)
PLASIM-ENTSem v1.0: a spatio-temporal emulator of future climate change for impacts assessment (2014-02-26)
Holden, P. B.; Edwards, N. R,; Garthwaite, P. H.; Fraedrich, K.; Lunkeit, F.; Kirk, E.; Labriet, M.; Kanudia, A. and Babonneau, F.
Geoscientific Model Development, 7 (pp. 433-451)
Automated biosurveillance data from England and Wales, 1991-2011 (2013-01)
Enki, Doyo G.; Noufaily, Angela; Garthwaite, Paul H.; Andrews, Nick J.; Charlett, André; Lane, Chris and Farrington, C. Paddy
Emerging Infectious Diseases, 19(1) (pp. 35-42)
An improved algorithm for outbreak detection in multiple surveillance systems (2013)
Noufaily, Angela; Enki, Doyo G.; Farrington, Paddy; Garthwaite, Paul; Andrews, Nick and Charlett, André
Statistics in Medicine, 32(7) (pp. 1206-1222)
Orthogonalization of vectors with minimal adjustment (2012-12-01)
Garthwaite, Paul H.; Critchley, Frank; Anaya Izquierdo, Karim and Mubwandarikwa, Emmanuel
Biometrika, 99(4) (pp. 787-798)
Some supplementary methods for the analysis of WAIS-IV index scores in neuropsychological assessment (2012-09)
Crawford, John R.; Garthwaite, Paul H.; Longman, R. Stewart and Batty, Abigail M.
Journal of Neuropsychology, 6(2) (pp. 192-211)
Some supplementary methods for the analysis of RBANS (2012-06)
Crawford, John R.; Garthwaite, Paul H.; Morrice, Nicola and Duff, Kevin
Psychological Assessment, 24(2) (pp. 365-374)
Statistical methods for the prospective detection of infectious disease outbreaks: a review (2012-01)
Unkel, Steffen; Farrington, Paddy; Garthwaite, Paul; Robertson, Chris and Andrews, Nick
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society), 175(1) (pp. 49-82)
Point and interval estimates of percentile ranks for scores on the Texas Functional Living Scale (2012)
Crawford, John R.; Cullum, C.Munroe; Garthwaite, Paul H.; Lycett, Emma and Allsopp, Kate J.
Clinical Neuropsychologist, 26(7) (pp. 1154-1165)
Single case research in neuropsychology: a comparison of five forms of t-test for comparing a case to controls (2012)
Crawford, John R. and Garthwaite, Paul H.
Cortex, 48(8) (pp. 1009-1016)
Comparing a single case to a control sample: testing for neuropsychological deficits and dissociations in the presence of covariates (2011-12)
Crawford, John R. ; Garthwaite, Paul H. and Ryan, Kevin
Cortex, 47(10) (pp. 1166-1178)
Some supplementary methods for the analysis of the Delis-Kaplan executive function system (2011-12)
Crawford, John R.; Garthwaite, Paul H.; Sutherland, David and Borland, Nicola
Psychological Assessment, 23(4) (pp. 888-898)
Inferences for a binomial proportion in the presence of ties (2011-09)
Garthwaite, Paul H. and Crawford, John R.
Journal of Applied Statistics, 38(9) (pp. 1915-1934)
Modeling pattern importance in Chopin's mazurkas (2011-04)
Collins, Tom; Laney, Robin; Willis, Alistair and Garthwaite, Paul
Music Perception: An Interdisciplinary Journal, 28(4) (pp. 387-414)
Selection of weights for weighted model averaging (2010-12)
Garthwaite, Paul H. and Mubwandarikwa, Emmanuel
Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics, 52(4) (pp. 363-382)
Point and interval estimates of effect sizes for the case-controls design in neuropsychology: rationale, methods, implementations, and proposed reporting standards (2010-05)
Crawford, John R.; Garthwaite, Paul H. and Porter, Sara
Cognitive Neuropsychology, 27(3) (pp. 245-260)
Selection of weights for weighted model averaging (2010)
Garthwaite, Paul H. and Mubwandarikwa, Emmanuel
Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics, 52(4) (pp. 363-382)
Inferential methods for comparing two single cases (2010)
Crawford, John R.; Garthwaite, Paul H. and Wood, Liam T.
Cognitive Neuropsychology, 27(5) (pp. 377-400)
On comparing a single case with a control sample: an alternative perspective (2009-11)
Crawford, John R.; Garthwaite, Paul H. and Howell, David C.
Neuropsychologia, 47(13) (pp. 2690-2695)
On percentile norms in neuropsychology: proposed reporting standards and methods for quantifying the uncertainty over the percentile ranks of test scores (2009-10)
Crawford, John R.; Garthwaite, Paul H. and Slick, Daniel J.
The Clinical Neuropsychologist, 23(7) (pp. 1173-1195)
A convenient method of obtaining percentile norms and accompanying interval estimates for self-report mood scales (DASS, DASS-21, HADS, PANAS, and sAD) (2009-06)
Crawford, John R.; Garthwaite, Paul H.; Lawrie, Caroline J.; Henry, Julie D.; MacDonald, Marie A.; Sutherland, Jane and Sinha, Priyanka
British Journal of Clinical Psychology, 48(2) (pp. 163-180)
Bayes' theorem and diagnostic tests in neuropsychology: interval estimates for post-test probabilities (2009-05)
Crawford, John R.; Garthwaite, Paul H. and Betkowska, Karolina
The Clinical Neuropsychologist, 23(4) (pp. 624-644)
A stochastic approximation method and its application to confidence intervals (2009)
Garthwaite, Paul H. and Jones, M. C.
Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, 18(1) (pp. 184-200)
Percentiles please: The case for expressing neuropsychological test scores and accompanying confidence limits as percentile ranks (2009)
Crawford, John R. and Garthwaite, Paul H.
The Clinical Neuropsychologist, 23(2) (pp. 193-204)
On the "optimal" size for normative samples in neuropsychology: Capturing the uncertainty when normative data are used to quantify the standing of a neuropsychological test score (2008-03)
Crawford, John R. and Garthwaite, Paul H.
Child Neuropsychology, 14(2) (pp. 99-117)
On the reliability and standard errors of measurement of contrast measures from the D-KEFS (2008)
Crawford, John R.; Sutherland, David and Garthwaite, Paul H.
Journal of the International Neuropsychological Society, 14(6) (pp. 1069-1073)
Use of expert knowledge in evaluating costs and benefits of alternative service provisions: A case study (2008)
Garthwaite, Paul H.; Chilcott, James B.; Jenkinson, David J. and Tappenden, Paul
International Journal of Technology Assessment in Health Care, 24(3) (pp. 350-357)
Estimating the percentage of the population with abnormally low scores (or abnormally large score differences) on standardized neuropsychological test batteries: A generic method with applications (2007-07)
Crawford, J. R.; Garthwaite, P. H. and Gault, C. B.
Neuropsychology, 21(4) (pp. 419-430)
Comparison of a single case to a control or normative sample in neuropsychology: Development of a Bayesian approach (2007)
Crawford, J. R. and Garthwaite, P. H.
Cognitive Neuropsychology, 24(4) (pp. 343-372)
Using regression equations built from summary data in the neuropsychological assessment of the individual case (2007)
Crawford, J. R. and Garthwaite, P. H.
Neuropsychology, 21(5) (pp. 611-620)
Measurement of sea-ice draft using upward-looking ADCP on an autonomous underwater vehicle (2006-11)
Banks, C. J.; Brandon, M. A. and Garthwaite, P. H.
Annals of Glaciology, 44(1) (pp. 211-216)
Methods of testing for a deficit in single-case studies: Evaluation of statistical power by Monte Carlo simulation (2006-09)
Crawford, John R. and Garthwaite, Paul H.
Cognitive Neuropsychology, 23(6) (pp. 877-904)
Comparing patients' predicted test scores from a regression equation with their obtained scores: A significance test and point estimate of abnormality with accompanying confidence limits (2006-05)
Crawford, John R. and Garthwaite, Paul
Neuropsychology, 20(3) (pp. 259-271)
Quantifying expert opinion for modelling fauna habitat distributions (2006-03)
Al-Awadhi, Shafiqah A. and Garthwaite, Paul H.
Computational Statistics, 21(1) (pp. 121-140)
Testing for a deficit in single-case studies: Effects of departures from normality (2006)
Crawford, John R.; Garthwaite, Paul H.; Azzalini, Adelchi; Howell, David C. and Laws, Keith R.
Neuropsychologia, 44(4) (pp. 666-677)
Detecting dissociations in single-case studies: Type I errors, statistical power and the classical versus strong distinction (2006)
Crawford, John R. and Garthwaite, Paul
Neuropsychologia, 44(12) (pp. 2249-2258)
Evaluation of criteria for classical dissociations in single-case studies by Monte Carlo simulation (2005-09)
Crawford, John R, and Garthwaite, Paul H.
Neuropsychology, 19(5) (pp. 664-678)
Statistical methods for eliciting probability distributions (2005-06)
Garthwaite, Paul H.; Kadane, Joseph B. and O'Hagan, Anthony
Journal of the American Statistical Association, 100(470) (pp. 680-701)
Testing for suspected impairments and dissociations in single-case studies in neuropsychology: Evaluation of alternatives using Monte Carlo simulations and revised tests for dissociations (2005-05)
Crawford, J. R. and Garthwaite, P. H.
Neuropsychology, 19(3) (pp. 318-331)
Bayesian analysis of misclassified binary data from a matched case-control study with a validation sub-study (2005-02-15)
Prescott, Gordon J. and Garthwaite, Paul H.
Statistics in Medicine, 24(3) (pp. 379-401)
A Bayesian approach to prospective binary outcome studies with misclassification in a binary risk factor (2005)
Prescott, G. J. and Garthwaite, P. H.
Statistics in Medicine, 24(22) (pp. 3463-3477)
The distribution of the difference between two t-variates and application to a test for dissociations (2004-12-01)
Garthwaite, Paul H. and Crawford, John R.
Biometrika, 91(4) (pp. 987-994)
Inferential methods for comparing a single case with a control sample: modified t-tests versus mycroft et al.'s (2002) modified anova (2004-10)
Crawford, John R.; Garthwaite, Paul; Howell, David C. and Gray, Colin D.
Cognitive Neuropsychology, 21(7) (pp. 750-755)
Statistical methods for single-case studies in neuropsychology: comparing the slope of a patient's regression line with those of a control sample (2004)
Crawford, John R. and Garthwaite, Paul H.
Cortex, 40(3) (pp. 533-548)
Intra-individual measures of association in neuropsychology: inferential methods for comparing a single case with a control or normative sample (2003-11)
Crawford, John R.; Garthwaite, Paul H.; Howell, David C. and Venerri, Annalena
Journal of the International Neuropsychological Society, 9(7) (pp. 989-1000)
Multivariate meta-analysis (2003)
In-Sun, Nam; Mengersen, Kerrie and Garthwaite, Paul
Statistics in Medicine, 22(14) (pp. 2309-2333)
Wanted: fully operational definitions of dissociations in single case studies (2003)
Crawford, Joh R.; Garthwaite, Paul H. and Gray, Colin D.
Cortex, 39(2) (pp. 357-370)
Practical use of MCMC methods: lessons from a case study (2002-06-04)
Zuur, Grietje; Garthwaite, Paul H. and Fryer, Rob J.
Biometrical Journal, 44(4) (pp. 433-455)
A Simple Bayesian analysis of misclassified binary data with a validation substudy (2002-06)
Prescott, Gordon J. and Garthwaite, Paul H.
Biometrics, 58(2) (pp. 454-458)
Investigation of the single case in neuropsychology: confidence limits on the abnormality of test scores and test score differences (2002)
Crawford, J.R. and Garthwaite, Paul H.
Neuropsychologia, 40(8) (pp. 1196-1208)
Assessing the learning curve effect in health technologies: Lessons from the non-clinical literature (2002)
Ramsay, Craig R.; Wallace, Sheila A.; Garthwaite, Paul H.; Monk, Andrew F.; Russell, Ian T. and Grant, Adrian M.
International Journal of Technology Assessment in Health Care, 18(1) (pp. 1-10)
Prior distribution assessment for a multivariate normal distribution: an experimental study (2001-01)
Garthwaite, P. H. and Al-Awadhi, S. A.
Journal of Applied Statistics, 28(1) (pp. 5-23)
Non-conjugate prior distribution assessment for multivariate normal sampling (2001)
Garthwaite, Paul H. and Al-Awadhi, Shafeeqah A.
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology), 63(1) (pp. 95-110)
Statistical assessment of the learning curves of health technologies (2001)
Ramsay, C.R.; Grant, A.M.; Wallace, S.A.; Garthwaite, P.H.; Monk, A.F. and Russell, I.T.
Health Technology Assessment, 5(12) (pp. 1-79)
Regression methods for high-dimensional multicollinear data (2000)
Aucott, Lorna S.; Garthwaite, Paul H. and Curral, James
Communications in Statistics: Simulation and Computation, 29(4) (pp. 1021-1037)
Quantifying expert opinion in the UK water industry: An experimental study (2000)
Garthwaite, Paul H. and O'Hagan, Anthony
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician), 49(4) (pp. 455-477)
Assessment of the learning curve in health technologies: a systematic review (2000)
Ramsay, Craig R.; Grant, Adrian M.; Wallace, Sheila A.; Garthwaite, Paul H.; Monk, Andrew F. and Russell, Ian T.
International Journal of Technology Assessment in Health Care, 16(4) (pp. 1095-1108)
An elicitation method for multivariate normal distributions (1998)
Al-Awadhi, Shafeeqah A. and Garthwaite, Paul H.
Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, 27(5) (pp. 1123-1142)
Confidence intervals from randomization tests (1996-12-01)
Garthwaite, Paul H.
Biometrics, 52 (pp. 1387-1393)
An interpretation of partial least squares (1994)
Garthwaite, P. H.
Journal of the American Statistical Association, 89(425) (pp. 122-127)
Comparison of the value of novel rapid measurement of myoglobin, creatine kinase, and creatine kinase-MB with the electrocardiogram for the diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction (1994)
Lee, H. S.; Cross, S. J.; Garthwaite, P. H.; Dickie, A.; Ross, I.; Walton, S. and Jennings, K.
British Heart Journal, 71(4) (pp. 311-315)
The form of response of body protein accretion to dietary amino acid supply (1993)
Fuller, Malcolm F. and Garthwaite, Paul
Journal of Nutrition, 123(5) (pp. 957-963)
Preposterior expected loss as a scoring rule for prior distributions (1992)
Garthwaite, P. H.
Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, 21(12) (pp. 3601-3619)
Generating Monte Carlo confidence intervals by the Robbins-Monro Process (1992)
Garthwaite, P. H. and Buckland, S. T.
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics), 41(1) (pp. 159-171)
Elicitation of prior distributions of variable-selection problems in regression (1992)
Garthwaite, Paul H. and Dickey, James M.
Annals of Statistics, 20(4) (pp. 1697-1719)
A windowing technique for determining composition of organic substances by near-infrared reflectance (1992)
Aucott, L. S.; Buckland, S. T.; Garthwaite, P. H.; Nevison, I. M. and Murray, I.
Analyst, 117(6) (pp. 947-952)
Quantifying precision of mark-recapture estimates using the bootstrap and related methods (1991-03-01)
Buckland, Stephen T. and Garthwaite, Paul H.
Biometrics, 47(1) (pp. 225-268)
Analysis of a multiple-recapture census by computing conditional probabilities (1990-03-01)
Garthwaite, P. H. and Buckland, S. T.
Biometrics, 46(1) (pp. 231-238)
Obesity, weight loss and prognosis in type 2 diabetes (1990)
Lean, M. E.; Powrie, J. K.; Anderson, A. S. and Garthwaite, P. H.
Diabetic Medicine, 7(3) (pp. 228-233)
Fractile assessments for a linear regression model: an experimental study (1989-04)
Garthwaite, P. H.
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 43(2) (pp. 188-206)
Protein and energy retention by growing rabbits offered diets with increasing proportions of fibre (1989)
Partridge, G. G.; Garthwaite, P. H. and Findlay, M.
Journal of Agricultural Science, 112 (pp. 171-178)
The relationship between demographic variables and NART performance in normal subjects (1988-05)
Crawford, J. R.; Stewart, L. E.; Garthwaite, P. H.; Parker, D. M. and Besson, J. A.
British Journal of Clinical Psychology, 27(2) (pp. 181-182)
Approaches to estimating physical activity in the community: calorimetric validation of actometers and heart rate monitoring (1988-03)
Avons, P.; Garthwaite, P. H.; Davies, H. L.; Murgatroyd, P. R. and James, W. P.
European Journal of Clinical Nutrition, 42(3) (pp. 185-196)
Transformations to reduce the effect of particle size in near-infrared spectra (1988)
Aucott, Lorna S.; Garthwaite, Paul H. and Buckland, Stephen T.
Analyst, 113 (pp. 1849-1854)
Quantifying expert opinion in linear regression problems (1988)
Garthwaite, Paul H. and Dickey, James M.
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology), 50(3) (pp. 462-474)
Dependence of energy expenditure on carbohydrate and not on fat intake in post-obese and control women (1988)
Lean, M. E. J.; Garthwaite, P. and James, W. P. T.
Proceedings of the Nutrition Society, 47 (137A-137A)
Payne and Jones revisited: Estimating the abnormality of test score differences using a modified paired samples t-test (1988)
Crawford, J. R.; Howell, David C. and Garthwaite, Paul H.
Journal of Clinical and Experimental Neuropsychology, 20(6) (pp. 898-905)
The psychological effects of service in British Antarctica: a study using the General Health Questionnaire (1987-02)
Bell, James and Garthwaite, Paul
British Journal of Psychiatry, 150(2) (pp. 213-218)
Effects of food intake, rumen development and live weight of calves of replacing barley with sugar beet-citrus pulp in a starter diet (1987)
Williams, P. E. V.; Fallon, R. J.; Innes, G. M. and Garthwaite, P.
Animal Production, 44 (pp. 65-73)
The effect of dietary molybdenum and iron on copper status, puberty, fertility and oestrous cycles in cattle (1987)
Phillippo, M.; Humphries, W. R.; Aktinson, T.; Henderson, G. D. and Garthwaite, P. H.
Journal of Agricultural Science, 109 (pp. 321-336)
Double and single-bisection methods for subjective probability assessment in a location-scale family (1985)
Garthwaite, P. H. and Dickey, J. M.
Journal of Econometrics, 29(1-2) (pp. 143-163)
Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Expert Probabilities (2006)
O'Hagan, A.; Buck, C. E.; Daneshkhah, A.; Eiser, J. R.; Garthwaite, P. H.; Jenkinson, D. J.; Oakley, J. E. and Rakow, T.
ISBN : 0-470-02999-4 | Publisher : John Wiley | Published : Chichester
Statistical Inference (2002)
Garthwaite, Paul; Jolliffe, Ian and Jones, Byron
ISBN : 0-19-857226-3 | Publisher : Oxford University Press | Published : UK
Even very frequent function words do not distribute homogeneously (2007)
De Roeck, Anne; Sarkar, Avik and Garthwaite, Paul
In: Nicolov, Nicolas; Bontcheva, Kalina; Angelova, Galia and Mitkov, Ruslan eds. Recent Advances in Natural Language Processing IV. Current Issues in Linguistic Theory (292) (pp. 267-276)
ISBN : 9789027248077 | Publisher : John Benjamins | Published : Amsterdam
Confidence intervals: nonparametric (2005-04)
Garthwaite, Paul
In: Everitt, B.S. and Howell, D.C. eds. Encyclopedia of Statistics in Behavioral Science (pp. 3475-381)
ISBN : 978-0-470-86080-9 | Publisher : Wiley | Published : Chichester
Combining information from sets of near-infrared reflectance data: A Bayesian approach (1992)
Aucott, L. S. and Garthwaite, P. H.
In: Murray, I. and Cowe, I. A. eds. Making Light Work: Advances in Near Infrared Spectroscopy (pp. 160-169)
ISBN : 3527284982 | Publisher : VCH Publishers | Published : New York
Predicting the metabolizable energy content of compounded feeds for ruminants (1988)
Thomas, P. C.; Roberston, S.; Chamberlain, D. G.; Livngstone, R. M.; Garthwaite, P. H.; Dewey, P. J. S.; Smart, R. and Whyte, C.
In: Haresign, W. and Cole, D. J. A. eds. Recent Advances in Animal Nutrition (pp. 127-146)
ISBN : 040701165X | Publisher : Butterworths | Published : London, UK
Using discovered, polyphonic patterns to filter computer-generated music (2010-01)
Collins, Tom; Laney, Robin; Willis, Alistair and Garthwaite, Paul
In : Proceedings of the International Conference on Computational Creativity (7-9 January 2010, Lisbon Portugal)
A comparative evaluation of algorithms for discovering translational patterns in Baroque keyboard works (2010)
Collins, Tom; Thurlow, Jeremy; Laney, Robin; Willis, Alistair and Garthwaite, Paul
In : Proceedings of the International Symposium on Music Information Retrieval (9-13 Aug 2010, Utrecht, The Netherlands)
On eliciting expert opinion in generalized linear models (2010)
Elfadaly, Fadlalla and Garthwaite, Paul H.
In : Tenth Islamic Countries Conference on Statistical Sciences (ICCS-X) (20-23 Dec 2009, Cairo, Egypt)
Team re-occurrence measures for analyzing style (2005-08-19)
Sarkar, Avik; De Roeck, Anne and Garthwaite, Paul
In : Stylistic Analysis Of Text For Information Access (19 August 2005, Salvador, Bahia, Brazil) (pp. 28-36)
A Bayesian mixture model for term re-occurrence and burstiness (2005-06-29)
Sarkar, Avik; Garthwaite, Paul and De Roeck, Anne
In : Ninth Conference on Computational Language Learning (CoNLL) (29-30 June 2005, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA)
Defeating the homogeneity assumption (2004-03)
De Roeck, Anne; Sarkar, Avik and Garthwaite, Paul H.
In : JADT 2004 : 7es Journées internationales d’Analyse statistique des Données Textuelles (10-12 March 2004, Louvain La Neuve, Belgium) (pp. 282-294)
Frequent term distribution measures for dataset profiling (2004)
De Roeck, Anne; Sarkar, Avik and Garthwaite, Paul H.
In : Fourth International Conference on Language Resources and Evaluation (LREC 04) (26-28 May 2004, Lisbon, Portugal) (pp. 1647-1650)

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